Wakefield-Peace Dale, Rhode Island 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

475
FXUS61 KBOX 130523
AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
123 AM EDT Fri Jun 13 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Gusty winds expected to diminish heading into tonight. Some showers
are possible near the south coast tonight, but the risk remains
low. Dry and warm through Friday with breezier and warmer
conditions today. Then the weather pattern turns unsettled and
cooler this weekend into Monday with a chance of showers at
times but a washout is not expected. Warmer weather returns
through the middle of next week with temperatures trending back
above normal.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
Key Messages:

* Gusty winds dying off after sunset

* Low chance for some showers near the south coast overnight

Another quiet night ahead with mostly dry conditions. Some lingering
mid-level moisture over the south coast may aid in developing some
spotty showers there, but these are not expected to be very
impactful. Low temperatures are expected to be in the 50s and 60s,
with the cooler temperatures primarily over the interior.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
Key Messages:

* Dry and seasonably warm Friday

* Seabreezes developing along the coasts

High pressure builds and the cold front exits the region completely
for Friday over southern New England. Winds will be much calmer than
today, and seabreezes are expected to develop along the coastlines.
Lower level temperatures are expected to drop from slightly over 20C
to closer to 15C at 925 mb, and with good mixing, surface
temperatures are also expected to drop compared to today`s. Highs
Friday are expected to be more seasonable: mostly in the mid to
upper 70s with slightly cooler temperatures along the Cape and
Islands. Some guidance shows some 925 mb temperatures closer to 20C
across parts of CT, so some spots could reach 80F, particularly in
the CT Valley into NE CT.

A shortwave within zonal flow aloft will reach southern New England.
A low moving to the NE off the east coast will remain just south of
the south coast, but these two things together will aid in increased
rain chances late Friday night into Saturday morning. Winds will
shift from primarily SE to the E and NE across the region overnight.
Lows Friday night are expected to be mostly in the mid to upper 50s
for most with cloudy skies.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Key Messages:

* Cooler this weekend, with a risk for showers Saturday

* Warming trend next week, with above normal temperatures expected
  by late next week

Yet another weak low pressure is anticipated to pass south of New
England Saturday. That means yet another risk for some showers this
Saturday. A high pressure should then nudge into our region from the
north for Sunday. However, since it is to our north, we`ll still have
to contend with the relatively chilly ocean impacting temperatures,
especially along the immediate coast.

The timing works out when another weak low pressure should move on
by to our south early next week. A stronger low pressure should then
move from the northern plains states into Canada during mid to late
next week. This time, our winds should be from the south, meaning
the start of a warming trend. Above normal temperatures and more
humid conditions are anticipated. This could mean some afternoon
showers and thunderstorms each day, but confidence in the details
are low this far in advance.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

06z TAF Update:

Through tonight...High confidence.

VFR, but lowering cigs tonight with areas of MVFR and scattered
showers developing mainly after 06z. Light winds with sea-
breezes developing today.

Saturday...Moderate confidence.

Cigs lowering to MVFR with scattered showers, especially in the
morning. Gradually drying out from N to S during the afternoon.

KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF. Sea-breeze developing
14-15z

KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Saturday Night through Tuesday/...

Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA.

Sunday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible.

Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA.

Monday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.

Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Chance SHRA.

Tuesday: Slight chance SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight and Friday...

Diminishing wind this evening becoming NW tonight, then easterly on
Friday with speeds mostly below 15 kt.

Friday Night...

Winds shift more E overnight remaining below 15 kt. Seas remain
low with waves of 2-3 ft across the waters.

Outlook /Saturday Night through Tuesday/...

Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt. Chance of rain showers.

Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers.

Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers.

Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.
Chance of rain showers.

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Chance of rain showers.

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Slight chance of rain showers.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Belk/Hrencecin
NEAR TERM...Hrencecin
SHORT TERM...Hrencecin
LONG TERM...Belk
AVIATION...Belk/KJC
MARINE...Belk/Hrencecin